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Prediction for CME (2025-01-18T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-01-18T02:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36474/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the N/NW in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and to the N/NE in STEREO A COR2 following the front of the CME first seen in SOHO LASCO C2 at 2025-01-18T01:36Z. There are two potential sources for this CME. The first source of this CME could be associated with the same M1.7 flare from AR 3964 (N06W34) as the 18/01:36Z CME, however there is a simultaneous small filament eruption from an area to the SE of the main flaring AR location. This filament eruption (~S15W12) is the second potential source and is located above the large Earth-facing coronal hole which may have contributed to significant deflection of the CME.
CME Arrival Time: -----
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: -----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-01-20T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: 46.35 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-18T21:39Z
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